风险管理 on Yagu的小站https://blog.yagu.ddns-ip.net/tags/%E9%A3%8E%E9%99%A9%E7%AE%A1%E7%90%86/Recent content in 风险管理 on Yagu的小站Hugozh-cnWed, 03 Jun 2026 20:03:00 +0800第1集：Ray Dalio 大师课——让市场为你工作（Make the Markets Work for You）https://blog.yagu.ddns-ip.net/posts/bv1qa4m137u4-p2/Wed, 03 Jun 2026 20:03:00 +0800https://blog.yagu.ddns-ip.net/posts/bv1qa4m137u4-p2/Ray Dalio 亲述：从两居室公寓到全球最大对冲基金 Bridgewater Associates 的成长历程，反思 1982 年预测失误的痛苦经历，确立痛苦+反省=进步的核心哲学，并解释如何通过债务/货币/政治三大力量构建宏观投资决策框架。 / Ray Dalio first-person account: from a two-bedroom apartment to founding Bridgewater Associates, the world's largest hedge fund. Reflects on his 1982 prediction failure, establishing the core philosophy of 「pain + reflection = progress」, and explains how to build macro investment framework via debt/currency/political forces.第4集：Ray Dalio 大师课——用风险管理赢得长期博弈（Win the Long Game by Managing Risk）https://blog.yagu.ddns-ip.net/posts/bv1qa4m137u4-p5/Wed, 03 Jun 2026 20:00:00 +0800https://blog.yagu.ddns-ip.net/posts/bv1qa4m137u4-p5/本集是 Ray Dalio 邀请价值投资大师 Seth Klarman（Baupost Group CEO）的对谈，含中英双语逐段对照转录。Seth 详述 12 岁买 J&J 的投资启蒙、价值投资的两大优势（即时折扣+成长收益）、Warren Buffett 式的安全边际哲学、eBay/PayPal 套利案例、2008 年未预测到危机但因位置合理而守住阵地的反思，以及在零利率 12 年长牛后市场可能面临的历史性均值回归。This is a conversation between Ray Dalio and value investing master Seth Klarman (CEO of Baupost Group), with bilingual transcript.